US-China Tensions Spark Stimulus, Consumer Spending Soars, and Major Deals in Retail and Tech

Consumer spending surged 2.4% in Q4 due to anticipated tariffs.

Trump appointed Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to a senior role in his administration.

Kroger proposed to acquire Albertsons for $34.10 per share.

China announced a $1.39 billion stimulus package to counter US trade disruptions.

The SEC filed charges against Unisys for misleading disclosures about cybersecurity risks.

Tech

AI & Cloud Computing

  • AI-Powered Business Transformation: Companies are integrating AI across industries to enhance efficiency, reduce costs, and improve customer experiences. The global AI market is projected to reach USD 3,680.47 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 19.1% from 2024 to 2034.
  • Microsoft Copilot Adoption: Microsoft’s AI assistant, Copilot, is seeing significant growth, with daily users doubling in the first quarter of fiscal 2025. The AI assistant is integrated into various Microsoft products, offering features like text generation, image creation, and complex question answering.
  • Azure Cloud Platform Expansion: Microsoft’s Azure cloud platform continues to expand, with revenue growing 33% year-over-year in the third quarter. This growth is driven by increasing demand for Azure AI services, which provide tools for developing and deploying AI applications.
  • Nvidia’s AI Chip Dominance: Nvidia remains the dominant player in the AI chip market. The company’s data center revenue surged 154% year-over-year in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, outperforming competitors like AMD and Intel. Nvidia is estimated to control over 90% of the market share.

E-commerce & Retail

  • Global E-Commerce Growth: Global e-commerce is expected to grow by 18% annually through 2025. Consumers are increasingly comfortable purchasing from international retailers, fueled by shifting consumer behavior and advancements in payment and logistics systems.
  • Shopify Platform Expansion: Shopify (SHOP) is capitalizing on the evolving e-commerce landscape. Its platform facilitated over $67.2 billion in sales during the second quarter of 2024, representing a 22% year-over-year increase. The company is expanding its international footprint with the launch of its point-of-sale go and point-of-sale terminal in Australia.
  • Klaviyo’s Market Dominance: Klaviyo is consolidating its position as a leading marketing platform by centralizing consumer data and offering personalized experiences across multiple channels. Its recent partnership with Authentic Brands Group demonstrates its market dominance in the upmarket segment.
  • MercadoLibre’s International Expansion: MercadoLibre (MELI), a Latin American e-commerce giant, is expanding beyond its core market to capitalize on the global used car market. The company launched AutoCango.com in March 2024 to facilitate vehicle trading between buyers and sellers in international markets.

Fintech & Payments

  • Mobile Payments Surge: The shift from cash to digital transactions is driving significant growth in the mobile payments market. Companies like Discover Financial Services (DFS) and Block (SQ) are capturing a significant share of this expanding market.
  • Adyen’s Global Expansion: Adyen, a global payment processing company, has seen strong traction in its in-store payments segment. The company is experiencing robust demand for its unified commerce point-of-sale terminals and has expanded its merchant base globally.
  • Coinbase Custody’s Market Reach: Coinbase Custody, the institutional arm of the prominent cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase, is expanding its reach within the tax-advantaged crypto IRA sector. The company is partnering with iTrustCapital, a leading provider of crypto IRAs, to provide secure asset storage and liquidity services.
  • Bybit Card Launch: Bybit, a leading cryptocurrency exchange, has introduced its Bybit Card, a Mastercard-branded debit card that allows users to spend their crypto assets at millions of merchants globally. The card offers tiered rewards, including up to 10% cashback, to make spending crypto more rewarding.

Semiconductors & Chip Manufacturing

  • Semiconductor Market Recovery: The global semiconductor market is experiencing a recovery phase, driven by the resurgence in electronics manufacturing and the burgeoning AI industry. Global semiconductor sales totaled $166 billion in the third quarter of 2024, representing a 23.3% year-over-year increase.
  • Nvidia’s AI-Fueled Growth: Nvidia’s (NVDA) AI-powered surge has continued in 2024, with the company dominating the AI GPU market. Nvidia is seeing strong demand for its GPUs from cloud service providers, governments, and other companies building and deploying AI applications.
  • TSMC’s U.S. Expansion: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) is a leading player in the semiconductor foundry space and is expanding its operations in the United States. The company has received $6.6 billion in CHIPS Act funds for its Arizona semiconductor project.
  • GlobalFoundries’ U.S. Investments: GlobalFoundries is receiving $1.5 billion in CHIPS Act funding for its semiconductor facilities in Malta, New York, and Burlington, Vermont. This indicates a concerted effort to boost U.S. semiconductor production, creating new opportunities for chip manufacturers.

Finance

Earnings Performance

  • Strong Earnings in Multi-line Insurance (USA): Enact Holdings, Inc. (ACT) exceeded analysts’ expectations, reporting earnings per share (EPS) of $0.42, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 14.85% and revenues of $310.83 million, exceeding expectations.
  • Mixed Results in Chemical – Specialty (USA): Mativ Holdings (MATV) missed analysts’ expectations, reporting EPS of $0.30, a -19.23% earnings surprise, and revenues of $498.5 million, falling short of estimates.
  • Solid Growth in Business Services (USA): Barrett Business Services (BBSI) exceeded analysts’ expectations, reporting a revenue surprise of +1.58% and an EPS surprise of +7.25%.
  • Significant Turnaround in Financial – Mortgage & Related Services (USA): Finance of America Companies Inc. (FOA) posted a remarkable earnings surprise of 415.38%, reporting earnings of $0.67 per share and revenues of $71.12 million.

Market Sentiment & Trading Signals

  • Positive Outlook from Goldman Sachs (USA): Goldman Sachs reiterated its buy recommendation for Progressive (PGR) shares, slightly increasing its price target due to an upward adjustment in the loss ratio for its personal insurance line.
  • Strong Sentiment for Progressive (USA): Following Goldman Sachs’ bullish outlook, Progressive’s stock price rose more than 4%.
  • Mixed Trading Signals (USA): Despite a strong earnings surprise, BGSF experienced a mixed trading signal, reflecting uncertainty about its future performance.

Regulatory and Legal Developments

  • SEC Charges against Unisys (USA): The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filed charges against Unisys (UIS) and three other companies for misleading disclosures about cybersecurity risks and breaches.
  • Class Action Lawsuit against AMMO (USA): Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP, is investigating potential claims against AMMO, Inc. (AMMO) related to alleged false and misleading statements concerning the company’s financial reporting and related party transactions.
  • Investigation of Nabors, Paltalk, and Carlyle Secured Lending (USA): Halper Sadeh LLC is investigating potential violations of federal securities laws in relation to mergers involving Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR), Paltalk, Inc. (PALT), and Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD).
  • Investigation of EngageSmart (USA): The Portnoy Law Firm is investigating EngageSmart, Inc. (ESMT) for potential securities fraud related to its take-private merger with Vista.

International Highlights

  • First National Bank Alaska’s Solid Q3 Performance (USA): First National Bank Alaska (FBAK) reported a net income of $18.0 million for the third quarter of 2024, driven by strong loan growth and solid asset quality.
  • MercadoLibre’s Continued Growth (Latin America): MercadoLibre maintained its leadership in the Latin American e-commerce and fintech space with strong performance across all its businesses and geographies.
  • Nykredit’s Record Financial Results (Denmark): Nykredit reported its strongest financial results ever for the first nine months of a year, raising its full-year guidance to a profit after tax of DKK 11.00-11.75 billion.
  • Sampo’s Share Buybacks (Finland): Sampo plc acquired a total of 90,955 of its own A shares on November 6, 2024, as part of its ongoing share buyback program.
  • Inbank’s Strong Performance (Estonia): Inbank delivered a consolidated net profit of 3.1 million euros in Q3 2024, increasing 7% year-on-year.
  • KBC Group’s Positive Results (Belgium): KBC Group recorded a net profit of 868 million euros in the third quarter of 2024, driven by higher net interest income, increased insurance revenues, and strong business performance.

Healthcare

Company Earnings

  • Outpatient & Home Healthcare Performance: The Pennant Group (PNTG) delivered strong quarterly earnings, exceeding analysts’ expectations by 13.04%. The company posted a 28.9% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $180.69 million. Amedisys (AMED) saw a 5.7% jump in revenue, reaching $587.67 million, but missed earnings expectations.
  • Biomedical & Genetics Earnings: Guardant Health (GH) reported strong third-quarter revenue growth of 33.9%, reaching $191.48 million, significantly exceeding analyst estimates. The company also narrowed its adjusted net loss. Qiagen (QGEN) saw a 5.5% increase in revenue, reaching $501.87 million, and exceeded earnings expectations. Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) experienced robust revenue growth of 36.7%, reaching $141.52 million, and surpassed both earnings and revenue estimates. Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ) reported strong third-quarter revenue growth of 8.5%, reaching $1.05 billion, driven by increased demand for its neuroscience products. The company also exceeded earnings expectations.
  • Instruments & Products Earnings: Haemonetics (HAE) saw an 8.6% increase in revenue, reaching $345.51 million, and exceeded earnings expectations. Dentsply SIRONA (XRAY) reported modest revenue growth of 0.4%, reaching $951 million, and exceeded earnings expectations. However, the company announced a non-cash charge for the impairment of goodwill. DarioHealth Corp. (DRIO) exceeded earnings and revenue estimates, while Privia Health (PRVA) missed earnings expectations but exceeded revenue estimates.
  • Drugs & Dental Supplies Earnings: Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (AUPH) surpassed both earnings and revenue estimates, while GoodRx Holdings, Inc. (GDRX) saw revenue growth but missed earnings expectations.
  • Info Systems Earnings: Phreesia (PHR) saw a significant price increase driven by investor optimism surrounding its upcoming earnings report, while P3 Health Partners (PIII) also closed higher.

Company News

  • Trump Administration Appointment: Trump has appointed Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to a senior role in his administration, focused on healthcare. This announcement has caused shares of pharmaceutical companies, particularly those associated with vaccines, to slide.
  • FDA Regulation: The FDA proposed ending the use of oral phenylephrine in over-the-counter cold and allergy medications. This move comes after a review that concluded the ingredient is not effective in relieving nasal congestion.
  • Global Sarcopenia Market Growth: The global sarcopenia treatment market is projected to reach US$ 4.63 billion by 2034, driven by factors such as increasing prevalence, rising personal healthcare expenses, and growing awareness.
  • New Venture Formation: Aditum Bio and Leads Biolabs announced the formation of Oblenio Bio to develop a tri-specific T-cell engager antibody for autoimmune diseases.
  • Strategic Partnerships: Clearside Biomedical (CLSD) announced that its Asia-Pacific partner, Arctic Vision, has signed a commercial collaboration agreement with Santen Pharmaceutical for ARVN001, branded in the U.S. as XIPERE, for the treatment of uveitic macular edema.
  • IPO Activity: BioAge Labs (SGMT) successfully completed its IPO, raising approximately $189.5 million in net proceeds.
  • Acquisition: McKesson Corporation (MCK) completed its acquisition of GKE, a sterilization and disinfection control company, which is expected to contribute to revenue growth.
  • Clinical Trial Update: Fennec Pharmaceuticals (FENC) has completed enrollment in an investigator-initiated clinical trial in Japan evaluating PEDMARK.

Overall Outlook

The Healthcare sector continues to show signs of growth and innovation. Companies are developing new therapies for a wide range of diseases and disorders, while others are expanding their existing portfolios and leveraging technology to improve efficiency. The market is also increasingly focused on patient access and affordability, with companies working to improve the availability of critical medications. However, the sector is not without challenges. The global economic environment remains uncertain, and many companies are facing pressures from rising costs and competition.

Key Trends

  • Innovation Focus: Companies are heavily investing in research and development to create new therapies and improve existing ones.
  • Shifting Market Dynamics: The industry is seeing a shift towards more personalized medicine and the use of technology to improve patient outcomes.
  • Patient Access & Affordability: Companies are working to make treatments more accessible and affordable for patients.
  • Market Expansion: Companies are looking to expand their reach into new markets, particularly in emerging economies.

Economy & Real estate

US Economic Outlook

  • Consumer Spending Surge: A leading economist forecasts a significant increase in consumer spending on high-priced items in the final quarter, driven by anticipated tariffs. This could inflate consumer spending by 2.4% in a worst-case scenario before tariffs take effect.
  • Trump’s Policy Impact: Trump’s economic policies are expected to include tax cuts and exemptions, potentially leading to increased inflation.

China’s Economic Response

  • Stimulus Package: China’s parliament is expected to unveil a massive stimulus package exceeding 10 trillion yuan ($1.39 billion) to counter potential trade disruptions from Trump’s policies. This support will target local government debt and the real estate sector.
  • Trade & Export Growth: China’s exports surged in October, reaching their fastest pace in 19 months at $309.06 billion, fueled by improved weather conditions, price discounts, and peak season demand. However, imports declined, highlighting China’s reliance on exports amid trade tensions.
  • Domestic Demand Focus: Experts highlight the need to stimulate domestic demand through structural adjustments and cautious measures to stabilize China’s economy amidst concerns surrounding potential US tariffs.

European Economic Challenges

  • Trade Tensions & Tariffs: Trump’s policies have raised concerns about revived trade tensions and tariffs, potentially hindering European economic growth. Analysts anticipate a negative impact on European exports to the US, particularly in sectors like autos and chemicals.
  • ECB Rate Expectations: The ECB is likely to implement more aggressive interest rate cuts in response to Trump’s policies, with Goldman Sachs predicting an additional quarter-point cut in July.
  • Defense Spending: Trump’s presidency could result in increased defense spending in Europe, particularly in nations with substantial trade surpluses with the US.

Real Estate Market Trends

  • REIT Performance: REITs reported mixed third-quarter results, with some exceeding analysts’ expectations while others fell short. Some companies revised their guidance for 2024, while others expressed an optimistic outlook.
  • Interest Rate Impact: Rising US Treasury yields are counteracting the Fed’s efforts to lower interest rates, potentially tightening financial conditions for real estate investors.
  • Property Transactions: REITs continue to actively acquire and dispose of properties, including the sale of non-core assets to strengthen their financial positions.
  • Office Space Demand: Some REITs reported strong demand for office space, particularly in premium locations. However, others are facing challenges with occupancy and rental revenue, reflecting the shift towards remote work.
  • Hotel Industry: The hotel industry continues to experience strong group demand, but recovery in some regions, like Maui, is slower than anticipated.
  • Housing Market: The housing market remains resilient, with some builders experiencing strong demand for luxury homes. However, others face challenges due to higher interest rates and inflation.

Real Estate Technology Advancements

  • Tokenized Real Estate: Trade Estate Group is introducing tokenized real estate investments in Florida, enabling investors to purchase digital tokens representing a portion of a property. This aims to democratize real estate investing by reducing entry costs, offering liquidity, and expanding global access.
  • Zillow’s Growth: Zillow Group reported strong third-quarter results driven by growth in residential, rentals, and mortgage revenue. The company’s focus on technology and enhanced-markets strategy appears successful.

International Real Estate Developments

  • Baltic Horizon Fund: The fund achieved a 100% BREEAM certified portfolio and is working towards increasing occupancy and repaying bonds to address the current unit price deviation from NAV.
  • Melcor Developments: The company remains focused on its core Alberta market and has reduced its general debt. It is pursuing a transaction to acquire its unowned equity interest in Melcor REIT.

Global Market Outlook

  • Post-Election Market Reactions: US stocks surged following Trump’s election victory, driven by optimism about lower taxes and deregulation. However, concerns about potential tariffs and inflation have also emerged.
  • Interest Rate Cuts: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, but the bond market’s reaction has been muted due to concerns about rising debt and inflation.
  • Earnings Season: The third-quarter earnings season continues, with some companies exceeding analysts’ expectations while others fall short.
  • Global Economic Uncertainty: The global economic outlook remains uncertain, with concerns about inflation, interest rate hikes, and geopolitical tensions.

Retail

Earnings

  • Traeger’s Sales Decline in Accessories and Consumables: Traeger (COOK) exceeded revenue expectations for the quarter ending September 2024, reporting $122.05 million versus an expected $118.44 million. However, while grill sales surged 32.3% year-over-year, consumables and accessories sales fell by 11.4% and 31.3%, respectively.
  • Marriott Vacations’ Revenue Rises on Strong Vacation Ownership Sales: Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) reported $1.31 billion in revenue, up 10% year-over-year, driven by a 21.3% increase in vacation ownership product sales. Despite this positive performance, the stock has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
  • Bally’s Reports Mixed Segment Performance: Bally’s Corporation (BALY) reported $629.97 million in revenue, down 0.4% year-over-year. While North America Interactive revenue surged 54.5%, casinos and resorts, international interactive, and other segments experienced declines.
  • Coty’s Revenue Growth Slows as Beauty Market Normalizes: Coty (COTY) reported $1.67 billion in revenue, up 1.8% year-over-year. While the Prestige segment saw strong growth, Consumer Beauty sales declined.
  • Wayfair Struggles with Housing Market Slump: Wayfair (W) reported another decline in revenue, down 2% to $2.88 billion in the third quarter, facing ongoing challenges from the weak housing market.
  • Keg Royalties Income Fund Sees Sales Decline: The Keg Royalties Income Fund (KEG.UN) reported a 0.6% decline in Royalty Pool Sales for the quarter ended September 30, 2024, primarily due to a decrease in same-store sales. However, Distributable Cash increased by 3.2% to $0.295 per Fund unit.

Retail Trends

  • Starbucks Battles Growing Competition: Starbucks (SBUX) faces intense competition from players like Luckin Coffee and Dutch Bros. The company is focused on improving service speed and adding a personal touch to the ordering process.
  • Luckin Coffee Expands in the US: Luckin Coffee, successful in Asia, particularly China, is now exploring US expansion opportunities, leveraging its competitive pricing and technology-driven approach.
  • Tariffs Threaten Athletic Footwear Industry: Potential tariffs on imports could significantly impact athletic footwear manufacturers and retailers, including Nike (NKE) and Adidas (ADDYY), leading to increased production costs.
  • Dollar General Faces Challenges but Remains Profitable: Dollar General (DG) has faced challenges in 2024 due to economic pressures on its low-income customer base, but remains profitable and positioned for a turnaround.
  • Home Depot’s Future Tied to Housing Market Recovery: Home Depot (HD) has experienced sales and profit declines due to the weak housing market, and its future prospects are heavily dependent on a housing market recovery.

International Retail

  • Bonduelle Group’s Stable Sales: Bonduelle Group sales for the first quarter of FY 2024-2025 remained stable compared to the same period last year.
  • Canada Goose Earnings Beat Estimates but Revenue Declines: Canada Goose Holdings (GOOS) reported better-than-expected second-quarter fiscal 2025 adjusted earnings per share but revenue fell 5% year-over-year.
  • MercadoLibre Revenue Growth Accelerates: MercadoLibre (MELI) reported strong revenue growth in the third quarter of 2024, driven by its commerce and fintech businesses. However, earnings missed analysts’ expectations.

Infrastructure

Company Performance

  • European Construction Company Performance:
    • Nordecon AS Profitability: This Estonian construction company reported a strong third quarter of 2024, with growth in profitability, sales revenue, and backlog. The group’s gross profit margin reached 7.1% for the first nine months of 2024 (compared to 3.3% in the first nine months of 2023) and 8.7% in the third quarter (compared to 3.5% in Q3 2023). The company attributes the improvement to better risk management in general contracting projects and the completion of long-term contracts signed before the war in Ukraine.
    • Nordecon AS Infrastructure Segment: The Infrastructure segment saw improvement partially influenced by an investment in an asphalt concrete plant, which reduced production costs and marked a significant step forward in materials recycling.
    • DFDS A/S Challenges: This European transport and logistics company reported a challenging third quarter of 2024, with revenue growth but a decline in earnings due to price and margin pressures in the automotive sector, Baltic region, and eastern Europe. The company also experienced delays in food exports to the UK due to Brexit border checks.
    • DFDS A/S Outlook: Despite these challenges, DFDS expects revenue growth of 8-10% in 2024, with an EBIT of DKK 1.5-1.7bn and an adjusted free cash flow of around DKK 1.2bn.
  • North American Energy Infrastructure:
    • TC Energy Corporation Earnings: This Canadian energy infrastructure company expects comparable EBITDA to be at the upper end of its 2024 outlook, driven by strong asset performance and increased segmented earnings during the first nine months of 2024.
    • TC Energy Corporation Project Update: The Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico is making significant progress toward commercial in-service no later than mid-2025, and capital expenditures for the project are now expected to be between US$3.9 to US$4.1 billion, approximately 11 per cent (mid-point) below the original cost estimate of US$4.5 billion.

Industry Trends

  • Construction Market Slowdown: The construction market continues to experience a downward trend, with uncertainty affecting both the public and private sectors’ willingness and confidence to make broad-based investments in buildings and infrastructure. This trend is expected to continue in the coming quarters, with analysts predicting a further slowdown in the rest of the year.
  • Transportation Services Challenges: Lingering supply chain disruptions and weak freight rates continue to impact the transportation services industry. The Cass Freight Shipment Index declined 5.2% year over year in September, highlighting the weak freight demand. Transportation services companies are focusing on cost-cutting measures to mitigate high expenses and a weaker-than-expected demand scenario. This includes improving productivity and efficiency.

Innovation

  • UK Zero Emission Tourist Vessel: Woods’ Silver Fleet is building the first zero emissions tourist vessel in the UK, featuring an innovative all-battery drive train and rapid charging from a two megawatt shore charging facility.
  • US Hydroelectric Efficiency: Relevate Power received a $4.9 million grant from the Department of Energy to improve the efficiency of its hydroelectric facilities. The grant will support efforts to increase energy generation capacity, improve grid resilience, and enhance safety and sustainability at the company’s facilities.
  • US Solid Rocket Motor Testing: Kratos Defense & Security Solutions successfully completed the first flight test of its Zeus 1 and Zeus 2 solid rocket motors. The motors are designed for use in hypersonic test, ballistic missile targets, scientific research, sounding rocket and special customer missions.

Expansion

  • AvAir Inventory Expansion: AvAir, a leading inventory solutions provider in the aviation aftermarket, has expanded its long-term aftermarket sales agreement with Lufthansa Technik Component Services (LTCS) by acquiring over 1,600 overhauled wheels and brakes from Lufthansa Technik’s spares pool.
  • Armlogi Holding Corp. Warehouse Expansion: Armlogi Holding Corp., a warehousing and logistics service provider, leased a new 480,000 square foot warehouse facility in Ontario, California. The facility will enhance the company’s ability to manage and process large volumes of goods with greater efficiency and reliability.
  • New Zealand Engine Centre Expansion: Pratt & Whitney and Air New Zealand will invest US$150 million to expand the Christchurch Engine Centre. The expansion will include maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) capabilities for the Pratt & Whitney GTF™ engine.

Acquisitions

  • CSW Industrials Acquires PF Waterworks: CSW Industrials, Inc. announced the strategic acquisition of PF Waterworks, LP, a manufacturer of revolutionary, problem-solving plumbing products.
  • York Water Company Acquisition: The York Water Company completed the acquisition of the Houston Run Community Water System, its second acquisition in Lancaster County.

Commodities

Agricultural Inputs

  • Corteva’s Financial Performance: Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) reported a 10.2% decrease in revenue to $2.33 billion for the third quarter of 2024, missing analysts’ estimates by 13.4%. The company’s Seed segment saw a 21.3% decline in revenue to $691 million, while the Crop Protection segment’s revenue fell 4.5% to $1.64 billion. The company’s earnings per share (EPS) was -$0.49, significantly lower than the year-ago quarter’s -$0.23.
  • Fertilizer Sector Revenue Trends: Nutrien (NTR) reported a 5% decline in revenue to $5.35 billion for the third quarter of 2024, missing analysts’ estimates by 0.3%. The company’s Potash segment saw an increase in sales volumes to 4,152 KTon, exceeding analysts’ expectations, while the Nitrogen segment saw a decrease in sales volumes to 2,455 KTon. The company’s EPS was $0.39, down from $0.44 in the previous year.

Metals

  • Gold Production and Exploration: Wesdome Gold Mines Ltd. (TSX:WDO, OTCQX:WDOFF) reported a strong third quarter with a 62% increase in gold production to 45,109 ounces, driven by lower costs and a higher average realized price of gold sold. The company’s net income rose to $39.0 million, or $0.26 per share.
  • Gold and Silver Mining Performance: Fortuna Mining Corp. (NYSE: FSM | TSX: FVI) achieved record attributable earnings of $50.5 million and operating cash flow of $119.3 million in the third quarter. The company produced 110,820 ounces of gold equivalent, at a cash cost per ounce of $1,059. Fortuna also achieved a positive net cash position and renegotiated its credit facility.
  • Silver and Base Metals Mining: Hecla Mining (HL) exceeded analysts’ expectations in the third quarter, with earnings per share reaching $0.03, beating the consensus estimate of $0.02. The company’s revenue reached $245.09 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.44%.

Energy

  • Oil and Gas Production and Exploration: DNO ASA reported a 24% increase in revenue to USD 170 million in the third quarter of 2024. The company’s operating profit was USD 31 million, up from an operating loss of USD 3 million in the prior quarter. DNO’s net production averaged 77,200 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd), with strong contributions from Kurdistan.
  • Natural Gas Processing: Source Energy Services Ltd. reported record sand sales volumes of 963,539 metric tonnes (MT) and sand revenue of $142.2 million, an increase of $40.1 million from the third quarter of 2023. The company’s total revenue reached $183.1 million. Source also announced a partnership with Trican Well Service Ltd. to construct a unit train capable terminal facility.
  • Oil and Gas Infrastructure Performance: Kodiak Gas Services (KGS) outpaced analysts’ expectations for earnings per share. The company’s revenue reached $324.65 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.14%. EnLink Midstream (ENLC) missed analysts’ expectations for earnings per share. The company’s revenue was $1.61 billion, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.81%.
  • Oil and Gas Services: Tenaris S.A. (TS) reported a 10% decline in revenue to $2.92 billion in the third quarter of 2024. The company’s earnings per share (EPS) was $0.81, exceeding analysts’ estimates by 28.6%.
  • Midstream Infrastructure Performance: Delek Logistics Partners (DKL) reported record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of approximately $107 million. The company closed several important transactions in Q3 2024, including the extension of contracts with DK for seven years, the acquisition of Delek’s portion in the Wink to Webster Pipeline, and the acquisition of H2 Midstream.
  • LNG and Gas Exports: Pieridae Energy Limited announced that it produced 23,116 boe/d and generated Net Operating Income of $19.8 million during the third quarter of 2024. Pieridae divested its legacy Goldboro assets for $12.0 million, completing its strategic pivot to focus on operating and growing its upstream and midstream processing businesses.
  • Oil and Gas Service Provider: Vantage Drilling International Ltd. reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of approximately $10.6 million or $0.80 per diluted share for the third quarter, as compared to a near breakeven net income attributable to shareholders for the same period a year ago. Vantage successfully placed the Topaz Driller on contract, delivering it on time and within budget, and also continued the upgrades to the Platinum Explorer.

Chemicals

  • Titanium Dioxide Production: Kronos Worldwide (KRO) reported third-quarter 2024 earnings of $0.62 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.34 per share. The company’s net sales increased 22% year over year to $484.7 million, driven by higher TiO2 sales volumes.
  • Industrial Gases: Air Products and Chemicals (APD) reported a 0.1% decline in revenue to $3.19 billion in the third quarter of 2024. The company’s EPS was $3.56, exceeding analysts’ estimates by 3.5%.

Mining

  • Uranium Production: Ur Energy (URG) reported a quarterly loss of $0.02 per share in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The company’s revenue was $6.4 million.
  • Copper and Gold Mining: SSR Mining (SSRM) reported a loss of $0.15 per share in the third quarter of 2024, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.03 per share. The company’s revenue was $456.4 million.
  • Steel and Mining: ArcelorMittal (MT) reported a decline of 6.5% in sales to $15.2 billion in the third quarter of 2024. The company’s operating income was $0.7 billion, down from $1.0 billion in the previous quarter.

Other

  • Transportation Performance: Navigator Holdings (NVGS) reported quarterly earnings of $0.29 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.34 per share. The company’s revenue was $120.17 million.

Politics

Trump’s Return: U.S. Political Landscape

  • Abortion Policy Shift: Trump’s return to office is likely to result in a rollback of abortion rights protections. His administration may enforce the Comstock Act, potentially hindering medication abortion access.
  • FDA & Medication Abortion: Anti-abortion appointments to the FDA could limit access to mifepristone, a crucial medication abortion drug.
  • Title X & Family Planning: The reinstatement of a domestic gag rule under the Title X program could restrict abortion referrals and counseling.
  • Student Loan Forgiveness Stalemate: Trump’s victory is expected to halt the Biden administration’s student loan forgiveness efforts, potentially leading to legal challenges.

Trump’s Policies & Market Impact

  • Market Response & Policy Predictions: Trump’s win could benefit industrial, financial, AI, and defense ETFs due to anticipated pro-business policies.
  • Manufacturing & Industrial Sector: Trump’s focus on domestic manufacturing could boost the industrial sector by bringing back jobs.
  • Financial Sector: Trump’s pro-business policies and potential interest rate rises could positively impact financial stocks.
  • AI & Defense Industries: Trump’s history of supporting AI research and increased defense spending could benefit companies in these sectors.

International Engagement & Communications

  • Trump’s Post-Election Communications: Trump has engaged with world leaders, including Ukraine’s President Zelenskyy, despite remaining silent on social media.
  • Digital Election Coverage: The 2024 U.S. presidential election witnessed record viewership across platforms, with YouTube leading the way.
  • Political Streamers & Election Coverage: Streamers like Dan Bongino, Steven Crowder, and HasanAbi attracted substantial audiences for their election coverage.

Kennedy’s Potential Role

  • Kennedy & U.S. Drug Policy: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s potential role in Trump’s administration could drive changes in U.S. drug policy.
  • Cannabis & Psychedelics Reform: Kennedy’s support for cannabis and psychedelics reform may lead to regulatory changes in these areas.
  • Vaccine Policy & Concerns: Kennedy’s previous statements on vaccines have raised concerns among public health advocates.

Stock Picks

Mergers & Acquisitions

  • Kroger’s Proposed Albertsons Takeover: Kroger (KR) proposed to acquire Albertsons (ACI) for $34.10 per share. The deal faces opposition from the Biden administration due to potential monopoly concerns. Albertsons’ stock rose 2% to $19, still 79% below the acquisition price, suggesting investors are skeptical about the deal’s success.
  • JPMorgan and Wells Fargo’s Surge: JPMorgan (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) stock surged over 10% on Wednesday. Investors anticipate more lenient regulations on mergers and acquisitions under a Trump presidency, benefiting these banks which facilitate such transactions.
  • Goldman Sachs’ M&A Dominance: Goldman Sachs (GS) stock also rose over 10%. It currently ranks first in worldwide announced and completed mergers and acquisitions this year, highlighting its position as a leader in the M&A space.

Cryptocurrency Regulation

  • Trump’s Support for Crypto: Trump’s vocal support for the cryptocurrency market is seen as positive for the regulation of this nascent industry.
  • Bitcoin’s Record High: Bitcoin reached a new high of over $76,000 on Wednesday, representing a 79% gain for the year, indicating strong investor confidence in the cryptocurrency.
  • Coinbase and Marathon Digital’s Gains: Coinbase (COIN), the largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume, and Marathon Digital (MARA), a crypto miner, saw significant stock increases. Their shares skyrocketed 31% and 19%, respectively, driven by positive sentiment towards the crypto industry.
  • Block’s Crypto Focus: Point-of-sale solutions provider Block (SQ) is also attractive in this sector, with its stock increasing by 7% on Wednesday due to its focus on cryptocurrency.

Energy

  • Trump’s “Drill Baby Drill” Policy: Trump has pledged to maintain the U.S. as the world’s largest oil and gas producer, potentially benefiting oil conglomerates like Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX).
  • Oil Stock Performance: While oil stocks showed mixed performance on Wednesday, investors should approach Trump’s “Drill Baby Drill” policy cautiously, given Chevron’s Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) due to declining earnings estimate revisions.

Electric Vehicles (EVs)

  • Tesla’s Potential Boost: Trump’s potential tax credit incentives for Tesla (TSLA) and other EV manufacturers could significantly improve their profitability.
  • Musk’s Relationship with Trump: Tesla CEO Elon Musk was a strong supporter of Trump’s campaign, potentially leading to favorable policies and even a position in the administration.
  • Tesla’s Stock Performance: Tesla shares soared 15% on Wednesday, reaching new 52-week highs of $289. The company holds a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong analyst sentiment and growth potential.

Trump Media & Technology

  • Trump Media’s Volatility: Trump Media & Technology (DJT), the company behind Trump’s social media platform, Truth Social, is a direct play on Trump’s electoral fortunes, making it a volatile and speculative investment.
  • DJT’s Recent Gains: DJT stock rose 6% on Wednesday, marking a over 100% increase for the year, highlighting the potential upside for investors betting on Trump’s political future.