China’s $114B Stimulus, Cancer Drug Breakthrough, and US Mortgage Rate Drop

China launched a comprehensive stimulus package worth $114 billion.
Ivonescimab outperformed Keytruda in a Phase 3 lung cancer trial.
Japan faces a rice shortage due to unfavorable weather and restrictive policies.
US mortgage rates dropped to 6.13%, leading to a surge in refinance applications.
Premier Graphene’s graphene-enhanced concrete showed a 32% tensile strength improvement.
Tech
AI Advancements
- ChatGPT Voice Enhancements: OpenAI is expanding ChatGPT’s capabilities with Advanced Voice Mode, leveraging GPT-4 for faster, more natural conversations in over 50 languages. The feature includes new AI voices, personalized instructions, and memory integration.
- AI Voice Competition: Google’s NotebookLM, with its lifelike AI voices, leads the AI voice market. Meta has joined the competition with its Meta AI assistant.
- AI Security Concerns: Researchers from ETH Zurich have successfully bypassed Google’s reCAPTCHA, highlighting potential vulnerabilities in AI-based security measures.
Cloud Computing and AI
- Decentralized Cloud Growth: NexQloud, a decentralized cloud computing provider, is participating in the Blockchain Life 2024 Startup Pitch competition in Dubai, demonstrating the growing interest in distributed cloud solutions.
- Cloud Expansion and AI Integration: OpenAI seeks government support for expanding its data centers, citing economic and national security benefits. Backbase’s Intelligence Fabric layer empowers banks with Agentic AI capabilities, boosting efficiency in customer service and sales.
Semiconductor Market Dynamics
- Nvidia’s AI Dominance: Nvidia’s stock rose following reports that CEO Jensen Huang completed his pre-planned stock sale. The company remains a leader in the AI chip market.
- TSMC’s Investment: TSMC, a leading chip manufacturer, is investing heavily to maintain its technological advantage and meet the increasing demand for AI chips.
- Intel’s Challenges: Intel faces challenges as it seeks to regain its market share. The company is in talks with Qualcomm about a potential acquisition.
Cryptocurrency Trends
- Memecoin Popularity: The cryptocurrency market has seen a surge in memecoin adoption, with Solana SOL/USD exceeding Ethereum ETH/USD in memecoin dominance.
- Bitcoin Price Predictions: Experts forecast that Bitcoin could reach $90,000-$100,000 in the last quarter of 2024.
- Coinbase’s cbBTC: Coinbase has introduced cbBTC, a Bitcoin-wrapped token on Ethereum, facilitating Bitcoin participation in DeFi activities.
Finance
Securities Lawsuits
- Accounting Irregularities Lawsuits: Several class action lawsuits have been filed against companies for alleged accounting irregularities and misrepresentations. Paragon 28 Inc. (FNA) faced a lawsuit alleging it misrepresented its financial health and internal controls, leading to a 20% drop in share price. DexCom Inc. (DXCM) was sued for allegedly misleading investors about its sales force capabilities, resulting in a 38% stock price decline. Five Below Inc. (FIVE) faced a lawsuit alleging it misrepresented its store traffic and expansion plans, leading to a 25% stock price drop. Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) was sued for allegedly misrepresenting its financial growth and compliance with U.S. export restrictions, leading to a 21% stock price decline. PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) faced a lawsuit alleging it concealed malware and goods produced by forced labor, resulting in a 40% stock price drop.
- Sales Force Misrepresentation Lawsuits: Two lawsuits were filed against DexCom, Inc. (DXCM) alleging that the company misled investors about the capabilities of its sales force, leading to a 38% stock price decline after disappointing earnings results were announced.
- Macroeconomic Challenges Lawsuits: A class action lawsuit was filed against Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) alleging that the company misrepresented its store traffic and expansion plans, leading to a 10% and 25% stock price decline following disappointing financial results and the CEO’s resignation.
Share Buybacks
- European Share Buybacks: Sampo plc, a Finnish insurance and financial services company, increased its share buyback program to EUR 475 million to enhance shareholder value. Norsk Hydro ASA, a Norwegian aluminum and renewable energy company, has been actively repurchasing its shares, owning 0.80% of its share capital, to optimize its capital structure and enhance shareholder returns.
Bank Mergers and Acquisitions
- US Bank Acquisitions: TowneBank (TOWN) announced an agreement to acquire Village Bank and Trust Financial Corp. (VBFC) for $120 million, expanding its presence in Richmond, VA. Zions Bancorporation (ZION) announced the acquisition of four branches from FirstBank through its subsidiary, California Bank & Trust, expanding its presence in Coachella Valley, CA. Camden National Corp. (CAC) signed an agreement to acquire Northway Financial, Inc. for $86.6 million, enhancing its presence in Maine.
- Citigroup Restructuring: Citigroup Inc. (C) continues to streamline its operations by exiting or selling its consumer banking businesses in various markets and focusing on wealth management. The company also seeks regulatory approval to set up a standalone securities firm in China.
Dividend Announcements
- Dividend Declarations: Several companies declared quarterly cash dividends. Johnson Outdoors Inc. (JOUT) declared a dividend of $0.33 per Class A share and $0.30 per Class B share. Southern Michigan Bancorp, Inc. (SOMC) declared a dividend of $0.15 per share. AGF Management Limited (AGF) declared a dividend of 11.5 cents per share.
Other Notable Financial News
- International Financial News: Orange, a French telecommunications company, announced plans to delist its American Depositary Shares (ADSs) from the NYSE to reduce costs. Municipality Finance Plc, one of Finland’s largest credit institutions, issued a NOK 2 billion green bond with a maturity date of 26 September 2029.
- Bankruptcy and Restructuring: Vertex Energy, Inc. (VTNR) filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, securing $80 million in financing and aiming to confirm its Chapter 11 plan by year-end.
- Private Equity and Investment: NB Private Equity Partners (NBPE) announced its 31 August 2024 monthly NAV estimate, reporting $73 million invested year-to-date and $390 million of available liquidity.
- Financial Technology: Broadridge Financial Solutions (BR) announced that Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (SEB) is leveraging its international post-trade processing solution. Propelle, a female-focused financial investment platform, launched to address Britain’s gender wealth gap.
- ETF Announcements: YieldMax™ announced weekly distributions on its YieldMax™ Universe Fund of Option Income ETFs (YMAX) and YieldMax™ Magnificent 7 Fund of Option Income ETFs (YMAG).
- Share Buybacks: Stingray Group Inc. (RAY.A; RAY.B) announced the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) has approved the renewal of its normal course issuer bid (NCIB). The Brink’s Company (BCO) announced a long-term ATM managed services agreement with Sainsbury’s.
- Berkshire Hathaway Holdings: Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) sold $863 million of Bank of America Corp (BAC) stock, reducing its stake closer to a 10% regulatory threshold.
- Cryptocurrency Custody: BNY Mellon Corp. (BK) secured an exception from the SEC’s controversial SAB 121 rule, allowing the bank to enter the cryptocurrency custody market. The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK) announced plans to launch a new cryptocurrency custody service.
- High-Yield Dividend ETFs: The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) is a high-yield dividend ETF that screens for companies with at least 10 consecutive years of dividend increases.
- Earnings and Stock Activity: Cintas Corporation (CTAS) reported better-than-expected first-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings, reflecting a positive outlook for the company. American Express (AXP) is well-positioned to continue rewarding shareholders with a solid track record. Micron Technology (MU) is expected to report its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings. Kohl’s Corporation (KSS) has shown unusual options activity for September 25, with bullish sentiment. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS) could be attractive for investors seeking high-growth dividend stocks.
Healthcare
Global Cancer Therapies
- Toripalimab Approved in Europe for NPC and ESCC: Shanghai Junshi Biosciences Co., Ltd and TopAlliance Biosciences Inc. announced that the European Commission (EC) has approved toripalimab for the treatment of recurrent, not amenable to surgery or radiotherapy, or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and unresectable advanced, recurrent, or metastatic oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). This approval makes toripalimab the first and only drug in Europe for the treatment of NPC and the only first-line treatment for advanced or metastatic ESCC, regardless of PD-L1 status.
- Ivonescimab Outperforms Keytruda in Lung Cancer: Summit Therapeutics’ stock is soaring after its lung cancer therapy, ivonescimab, outperformed Keytruda (pembrolizumab) in a Phase 3 clinical trial. Ivonescimab, a bispecific antibody, inhibits both PD-L1 and VEGF-A, demonstrating a potential improvement over Keytruda, a leading cancer immunotherapy that generated $25 billion in sales last year.
- SYN-2510 Shows Promise in Lung Cancer: Instil Bio is also experiencing significant stock gains due to its development of SYN-2510, a bispecific antibody that targets PD-L1 and VEGF. While data for SYN-2510 is not yet available, its similarity to ivonescimab, coupled with the planned late-stage clinical trial, has fueled investor enthusiasm.
- Medigene Patents KRAS-Targeting TCR-T Therapy: Medigene AG has filed a patent application for MDG2021, a T cell receptor engineered T cell (TCR-T) therapy targeting KRAS G12D with human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-A*11. This expands Medigene’s KRAS targeting TCR library and broadens its intellectual property portfolio for TCRs targeting both neoantigens and cancer testis antigens, potentially applicable in various TCR-guided treatment modalities.
Biosimilars and Inflammatory Disease Treatments
- Alvotech Initiates Confirmatory Study for AVT16: Alvotech, a global biotech company, has initiated a confirmatory patient study for AVT16, a biosimilar candidate to Entyvio (vedolizumab) for the treatment of Ulcerative Colitis. This marks a significant step for Alvotech in expanding its biosimilar portfolio and increasing access to affordable biologic medicines.
- ZORYVE Effective in Diverse Atopic Dermatitis Subgroups: Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc. announced new pooled subgroup analysis results from its Phase 3 INTEGUMENT-1 and -2 trials, showing that ZORYVE cream 0.15% provided consistent improvements in signs and symptoms of atopic dermatitis (AD) in individuals regardless of race, ethnicity, and Fitzpatrick skin types.
- Vilobelimab Shows Promise in Hidradenitis Suppurativa: InflaRx N.V. announced the presentation of a post hoc analysis of the SHINE Phase 2b study of vilobelimab, a first-in-class anti-C5a antibody, in hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) at the 2024 European Academy of Dermatology & Venereology Congress. The analysis highlighted significant improvements in reducing draining tunnels, total lesion count, and the International Hidradenitis Suppurativa Score 4 (IHS4) compared to placebo.
Emerging Technologies in Chronic Disease Management
- Zevra Therapeutics Receives FDA Approval for Miplyffa: Zevra Therapeutics received FDA approval for arimoclomol, to be marketed as Miplyffa, as a treatment for Niemann-Pick disease type C (NPC). This milestone makes Miplyffa, in combination with miglustat, the first FDA-approved NPC drug for treating neurological manifestations of NPC in adult and pediatric patients.
- Oruka Therapeutics Presents Preclinical Data on ORKA-001: Oruka Therapeutics, Inc. announced new preclinical data on ORKA-001, a novel extended half-life monoclonal antibody targeting IL-23p19, from its presentation at the European Academy of Dermatology and Venereology Congress. The data suggests that ORKA-001 could achieve extended dosing intervals, potentially enabling once-every-six-months or even once-yearly dosing for plaque psoriasis.
- YD Biopharma and Breeze Holdings to Merge: Breeze Holdings Acquisition Corp. entered into a definitive agreement to merge with YD Biopharma, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focusing on cancer prevention medical diagnostics and the development of exosome-based therapeutics. The combined company will focus on expanding production and continuing the development of new technologies for a variety of healthcare needs.
Economy & Real estate
China Stimulus
- Unprecedented Measures: The People’s Bank of China launched a comprehensive stimulus package including an Rmb800bn ($114bn) fund to support the stock market, reductions in benchmark interest rates, mortgage rates, and downpayment requirements.
- Market Response: Chinese equities experienced a surge following the announcement, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index seeing its best day in seven months and mainland China’s CSI 300 witnessing its largest one-day gain in over four years.
- Yuan Strength: The Chinese yuan strengthened to its highest point in over 16 months, reaching 7.01 against the dollar.
- Economic Impact: While significant, some economists express uncertainty about the efficacy of these measures in stimulating the faltering real economy and addressing the prolonged property slump.
Japan Rice Shortage
- Demand Exceeds Supply: Japan faces a rice shortage due to a combination of factors including unfavorable weather, an increase in tourist demand, and restrictive rice policies.
- Tourist Consumption: The influx of tourists, especially in the first half of 2024, has fueled demand for rice-based dishes like sushi.
- Production Decline: Aging rice farmers retiring and a dwindling number of young people entering the profession have resulted in a decrease in rice production.
- Government Policies: Japan’s restrictive rice policies, including a 778% tariff on imported rice, contribute to the overall supply shortage.
U.S. Housing Market
- Mortgage Rate Drop: The average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances decreased from 6.15% to 6.13%.
- Refinance Surge: Mortgage applications for refinancing homes jumped 20% last week compared to the previous week.
- Purchase Application Trends: Mortgage applications for home purchases rose only 1% for the week, indicating that buyers continue to be challenged by high home prices and limited housing inventory.
- Average Loan Size: The overall average loan size reached a record high of $413,100, reflecting increased loan sizes for both purchase and refinance applications.
Canadian Housing Market – GTA
- Housing Supply Lag: The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) is experiencing a significant shortage of new homes, with construction lagging behind population growth, as revealed by the Building Industry and Land Development Association (BILD) Municipal Benchmarking Study.
- Approval Delays: Municipal approvals for new housing projects in the GTA take an average of 20 months, driving up the cost of new homes.
- Government Fee Burden: Fees, taxes, and charges imposed by all levels of government account for nearly 25% of the cost of a new home in the GTA.
India Economic Outlook
- GDP Projections: The Asian Development Bank maintained India’s GDP growth projections at 7% for fiscal year 2025 (FY25).
- Positive Outlook: The report highlights strong agricultural growth, robust performance in industry and services sectors, and continued private investment and urban consumption.
- Government Initiatives: A new government policy providing employment-linked incentives to workers and businesses is expected to increase labor demand and support job creation.
- Inflation and Monetary Policy: Consumer inflation is projected to rise to 4.7% in FY24, mainly driven by elevated food prices. However, the Reserve Bank of India may consider reducing policy rates later in FY2024 if food prices moderate.
Retail
Travel Trends
- Golden Week Bookings Surge: Trip.com Group data shows a significant increase in bookings for the upcoming Golden Week holiday in October, with hotel bookings peaking on October 1st and average stays exceeding seven days. Year-on-year booking growth for stays has also been positive.
- Mid-Tier Stays Gain Popularity: Travelers are seeking high-quality, mid-tier accommodation, although European 5-star hotel bookings have experienced almost triple the growth compared to the Asia-Pacific region.
- Long-Haul Destinations On The Rise: Long-haul destinations, particularly Australia, the United States, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, France, and Spain, are seeing a surge in demand, with visa applications submitted an average of 68 days before the holiday.
- Lesser-Known Destinations Attract Tourists: Chinese travelers are exploring quieter, off-the-beaten-path locations in both Europe and Asia-Pacific, seeking a less crowded travel experience.
Stitch Fix Financial Performance
- Revenue Declines: Stitch Fix reported a 12.4% decrease in net revenue for Q4 2024 compared to Q4 2023, reaching $319.6 million. This decline reflects ongoing challenges with client retention and customer acquisition.
- Client Base Shrinks: Active clients decreased by 19.7% year-over-year, dropping to 2.51 million. This signifies significant challenges in attracting and retaining customers.
- Cost Management Focus: Despite revenue challenges, Stitch Fix achieved a slight improvement in gross margin, reaching 44.6% in Q4 2024 compared to 44.1% in Q4 2023. This reflects successful cost management and transportation leverage.
- Restructuring & Innovation: Stitch Fix is closing its UK operations and focusing on restructuring efforts to optimize cost efficiency. The company is also emphasizing personalization through data science and introducing new features like StyleFile to boost client engagement.
Coca-Cola Flavor Adjustments
- Spiced Flavor Discontinued: Coca-Cola is discontinuing its Spiced flavor, launched in February 2024, due to weak sales. The company is planning to introduce a new flavor in 2025.
- Shifting Consumer Preferences: The move reflects Coca-Cola’s adaptation to evolving consumer tastes, which are shifting towards sparkling waters and hydration beverages.
- Resilient Growth: Coca-Cola continues to demonstrate resilient growth despite economic challenges, achieving strong revenue and profit growth in the second quarter of 2024.
Halloween Celebrations
- Chuck E. Cheese Boo-Tacular: Chuck E. Cheese will host its fifth annual Halloween Boo-Tacular celebration from September 30th to October 31st. The month-long event offers free E-Tickets, free candy, themed menu items, and DJ Munch’s Haunted House Dance Party.
- Family-Friendly Festivities: The Boo-Tacular aims to provide families with a safe, budget-friendly Halloween experience, with special offers for those who visit during October.
YETI Holdings Macroeconomic Headwinds
- Innovation & Expansion: YETI continues to focus on innovation, with new cooler and Drinkware products driving growth. The company is also expanding its international presence, with a particular focus on Europe and Asia.
- Supply Chain Diversification: YETI is diversifying its supply chain, reducing its reliance on China and mitigating geopolitical risks.
- Macroeconomic Concerns: Despite these positives, YETI faces challenges from the macroeconomic environment, including inflation, interest rates, and shipping disruptions.
Acushnet Holdings Performance
- Golf Industry Strength: Acushnet is benefiting from strong demand in the golf industry, with increased rounds of golf driving sales of golf balls, clubs, and apparel.
- Product Launches: The company is launching new products, including Titleist GT Metals and FootJoy Quantum, which are expected to further strengthen its market position.
- Operational Improvements: Acushnet has successfully expanded its urethane capacity and improved inventory management, enhancing its efficiency.
- Challenges: However, the company faces challenges in international markets and elevated expenses, particularly in Europe and Asia.
Infrastructure
Grid Fee Increases in Finland
- Increased Grid Service Fees: Fingrid, the transmission system operator in Finland, will increase its fees for grid services by 8% starting in 2025. This increase is driven by significant investments in the main grid to meet customer needs and enable the achievement of climate targets using clean electricity.
- Investment Rationale: These investments are necessary to ensure the reliability and capacity of the grid, as well as to facilitate the integration of renewable energy sources.
- Cost of Operations: Costs have risen due to a major investment program and the need for power system reserves to manage grid changes and disturbances.
- Impact on Electricity Prices: The increase in main grid tariffs will have a moderate impact on household electricity prices, accounting for approximately 2-3% of the total price.
Mermec Expands Railway Signaling Operations
- Acquisition of Signaling Operations: Mermec, a global leader in railway safety and digitalization, has acquired mainline signaling operations in France, Germany, the UK, and Korea from Hitachi Rail. This move significantly expands Mermec’s presence in the railway signaling sector.
- Fourth-Largest Global Player: This acquisition strengthens Mermec’s position in the railway signaling sector, making it the fourth-largest global player in the ERTMS (European Rail Traffic Management System).
- New Subsidiary: Mermec Deutschland has been established in Munich to manage operations and participate in strategic projects in the DACH region.
- Focus on ERTMS: The acquisition highlights the importance of high-speed railway programs and ERTMS within the EU’s new recovery agenda, as emphasized by European Commission officials.
Graphene-Enhanced Concrete in Construction
- Independent Validation of Data: Premier Graphene, Inc. has received independent validation of its proprietary graphene-enhanced concrete from a global construction materials company. The independent tests confirmed Premier’s initial findings, showing a 32% improvement in tensile strength compared to traditional concrete.
- Tensile Strength Improvement: This breakthrough has the potential to revolutionize the construction industry by providing stronger, more durable concrete.
- Potential for Large-Scale Adoption: The global R&D team is moving forward with large-scale testing of the additive, with potential for initial orders and long-term supply agreements if the results are positive.
- Environmental Benefits: The graphene additive has the potential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in cement production, making it a sustainable option for the construction industry.
Jacobs to Manage LIRR Station Improvements
- Program Management Contract: Jacobs has been selected by the New York Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) as the program management consultant for the Long Island Rail Road (LIRR) station improvements project. This project aims to enhance accessibility and improve the passenger experience.
- ADA Compliance: The project includes updating the Babylon, Forest Hills, and Hollis stations to comply with the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA), enhancing accessibility for all passengers.
- Scope of Work: Jacobs will oversee construction and commercial management, design compliance, and risk identification.
- Project Details: The project includes installation and rehabilitation of elevators, escalators, ramps, and platform improvements, with an estimated total contract value of $227.5 million.
Water Utility Industry Outlook
- Interest Rate Decline as a Tailwind: The recent 50-basis point reduction in interest rates by the Federal Reserve will benefit capital-intensive water utilities by reducing borrowing costs. This will make it easier for utilities to finance infrastructure upgrades and expand operations.
- Aging Infrastructure Investments: The aging of water and wastewater infrastructure requires significant investments to ensure safe and reliable service. The Bipartisan Infrastructure Law has allocated $50 billion to EPA for upgrading water infrastructure.
- Industry Consolidation: The fragmented nature of the water utility industry is driving consolidation, with larger companies acquiring smaller players to enhance efficiency and upgrade assets.
- Industry Prospects: The Zacks Utility-Water Supply industry has a positive earnings outlook, with several companies expected to benefit from infrastructure investments and growing demand for water services.
Commodities
Copper Market Dynamics
- China’s Economic Stimulus: Copper prices have surged to their highest levels in over two months, fueled by improved demand in China, the world’s largest copper consumer. This surge is driven by the Chinese government’s announced economic stimulus measures aimed at bolstering the struggling property and construction sectors.
- Gold Price Rally: Gold prices reached record highs following the recent U.S. interest rate cut, as investors sought safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainty and a weakened U.S. dollar.
Solar Energy Growth
- 1GW PV Module Distribution Deal: JA Solar and One Stop Warehouse (OSW), Australia’s largest solar distributor, have signed a significant 1 GW PV module distribution agreement for the global market, covering the period from 2025 to 2027.
- Expansion into Europe: The agreement aims to strengthen collaboration in distributed solar markets across Europe, the United States, and the Asia-Pacific region, accelerating the global shift towards clean energy.
Steel Industry Expansion
- AM/NS India Growth Plans: AM/NS India, a joint venture between ArcelorMittal and Nippon Steel, is expanding its steelmaking capacity at its Hazira, Gujarat plant.
- Phase 1 Investments: The first phase of the project includes a substantial $5.1 billion upstream expansion to increase annual steelmaking capacity from 9 million tonnes to 15 million tonnes by 2026. This phase also includes a $1 billion downstream expansion aimed at enhancing the production of sophisticated steel products.
- Phase 2 & Beyond: Long-term plans are underway for further expansion to 40 million tonnes, positioning AM/NS India to capitalize on anticipated growth in domestic demand within India.
Uranium Market Trends
- Uranium Energy Acquires Sweetwater Plant: Uranium Energy (UEC) has signed an agreement to acquire Rio Tinto’s (RIO) Sweetwater Plant and uranium assets in Wyoming. This acquisition significantly boosts UEC’s production capacity.
- Strategic Move for UEC: The acquisition reinforces Uranium Energy’s standing as a leading uranium developer in both Wyoming and the United States, further solidifying its position following its 2021 acquisition of Uranium One Americas.
- Uranium Market Dynamics: This deal signifies the ongoing growth in the uranium market and the potential for uranium-related companies to benefit from increasing demand.
Fertilizer Market Dynamics
- Nutrien’s Growth Strategies: Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) is currently witnessing robust demand for crop nutrients and is actively pursuing strategic acquisitions while navigating lower fertilizer prices.
- Strong Demand in Key Markets: The company is experiencing healthy fertilizer demand across its major markets, with notable growth in potash and phosphate sales volumes.
- Lower Fertilizer Prices: Softer fertilizer prices, driven by increased global supply availability, are expected to have a near-term impact on the company’s sales and profitability.
Mining Sector’s Energy Transition
- Fortescue’s Electrification Investment: Fortescue Metals, a prominent iron miner, has announced a substantial $2.8 billion investment in fleet electrification, supporting its commitment to achieving net-zero emissions by 2030.
- Large-Scale Fleet Transformation: This investment will involve the purchase of 475 zero-emission machines, including 360 autonomous battery-electric trucks, 55 electric excavators, and 60 battery-electric dozers.
- Renewable Energy Sourcing: Fortescue is expanding its renewable energy capacity to power its operations. Currently, the company sources power from a 60MW solar farm and aims to achieve 100% renewable power.
Mozambique LNG Project
- Rovuma LNG FEED Contract: Technip Energies and JGC Corporation have been awarded the Front-End Engineering Design (FEED) contract by ExxonMobil for the Rovuma LNG project in Mozambique.
- Project Scope: The Rovuma LNG project will include an LNG plant with a production capacity of 18 Mtpa, featuring electric-driven LNG trains designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
- Modular Design: The project will utilize prefabricated and standardized modules to achieve cost competitiveness and a streamlined delivery schedule.
Politics
US Government Funding
- House Speaker Opposes Omnibus Bill: House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) has announced his intention to avoid passing a large omnibus spending bill in December, a departure from past practices. He seeks to exert pressure on the Senate and White House regarding spending, despite the challenge of uniting the slim House GOP majority.
- Stopgap Funding Approved: The House is expected to vote on a continuing resolution (CR) to extend government funding until December 20th, preventing a government shutdown on October 1st. The bill is projected to pass with Democratic support, despite opposition from some conservative members.
- No Additional Large Funding Packages: Johnson has ruled out the consideration of other major funding bills, such as “minibuses,” which combine funding for specific government areas. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-La.) endorses this position, viewing the stopgap bill as a positive outcome.
- Prior Funding Extensions as Precedent: Johnson cited the extension of government funding to two separate dates past December last year as justification for avoiding an omnibus this year. He remains committed to breaking away from the “terrible tradition” of the Christmas omnibus.
2024 US Presidential Election
- Harris Leads Trump in Polls: Vice President Kamala Harris maintains a lead over former President Donald Trump in head-to-head polls of likely voters. Recent polling data indicates a close contest, with Harris holding a slight advantage.
- Pelosi Calls for Unity and Issue Focus: Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi urged voters to prioritize issues vital to the American people, rather than resorting to political insults and conspiracies, and to cast their ballots for Harris and Democrats. She also criticized current House Speaker Mike Johnson for remarks on election integrity.
- Economy as Top Voter Concern: The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll revealed that the economy is the most pressing issue for voters.
- Harris and Trump’s Economic Policy Plans: Both candidates are actively campaigning to appeal to voters with their respective economic proposals. Trump is emphasizing tariffs, tax cuts, and bringing jobs back to the US, while Harris is focusing on boosting U.S. manufacturing and safeguarding American businesses.
China’s Actions Against Xinjiang Cotton
- Investigation into PVH Corp.: China’s Ministry of Commerce announced an investigation into PVH Corp. under the unreliable entity list framework for alleged discriminatory practices related to Xinjiang cotton. This action comes as many Western governments are implementing bans on Xinjiang products due to claims of forced labor.
- Beijing Counteracts Bans and Boycotts: The investigation represents China’s latest effort to combat claims made by Western officials and human rights advocates regarding forced labor in Xinjiang.
- Forced Labor Allegations: Researchers have presented evidence suggesting that cotton production in Xinjiang is connected to coercive practices.
Global Defense Spending
- Lockheed Martin Wins Missile Contract: Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) secured a $42 million contract to provide HELLFIRE II Missiles and Joint Air-to-Ground Missiles (JAGM).
- Growing Demand for Missiles: Global defense spending on advanced military arms and ammunition is on the rise, including investments in missiles and missile systems. Lockheed Martin, a prominent manufacturer of these systems, has been benefiting from this trend.
- Missile Defense Systems Market Expansion: Mordor Intelligence forecasts a compound annual growth rate of 5% for the missiles and missile defense systems market during 2024-2029, benefiting companies like Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC), RTX Corporation (RTX), and The Boeing Company (BA).
Stock Picks
Nvidia and Chipmakers
- CEO Stock Sale: Nvidia’s CEO, Jensen Huang, sold company stock early under a trading plan, driving an increase in share prices by 3.97% to close at $120.87 on August 10, 2023.
- China’s Economic Support: Alibaba shares surged by 7.88% to close at $97.19 after China’s central bank announced plans to slash banks’ reserve requirement ratio, signaling potential economic support and boosting investor confidence in Chinese tech stocks.
- TSMC Arizona Investment: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) shares climbed by 4.13% to close at $181.97 after securing an additional $7.5 billion infusion into its Arizona unit, bolstering its U.S. expansion efforts and investor confidence.
Tesla and Electric Vehicles
- Third-Quarter Deliveries: Tesla shares rose by 1.71% to close at $254.27 fueled by optimism concerning third-quarter deliveries outperformance.
- Robotaxi Event Skepticism: Gary Black, a fund manager, expressed skepticism about the October 10 Robotaxi event being a major catalyst, emphasizing potential growth from a sub-$30K compact car launch.
Strong Buy Stocks
- Earnings Growth: Several companies have seen the Zacks Consensus Estimate for their current year earnings increase significantly over the last 60 days. SK Telecom (SKM), a wireless telecommunication services company, experienced a 7.5% increase. AngloGold Ashanti Limited (AU), a gold mining company, saw a 12.7% increase. Affirm Holdings (AFRM), a payment network company, witnessed a 43.1% increase. Cinemark Holdings (CNK), a motion picture exhibitor, experienced a 22% increase. Orange County Bancorp (OBT), a commercial and consumer banking company, observed a 9.9% increase.
Value Stocks
- KT Corporation (KT): This telecommunications and platform services company has a Zacks Rank #1, with a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 8.31, compared with 12.10 for the industry. The company possesses a Value Score of A.
- Orange County Bancorp (OBT): This commercial and consumer banking company has a Zacks Rank #1, with a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 9.91, compared with 11.90 for the industry. The company possesses a Value Score of B.
- Cinemark Holdings (CNK): This motion picture exhibitor carries a Zacks Rank #1, with a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 20.72, compared with 23.15 for the S&P 500. The company possesses a Growth Score of A.
Strong Sell Stocks
- Earnings Decline: Several companies have seen the Zacks Consensus Estimate for their current year earnings decline significantly over the last 60 days. Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO), a sporting goods and outdoor recreational products retailer, experienced a 4.8% decline. American Vanguard Corporation (AVD), a specialty chemicals company, witnessed a 177.3% decline. Axcelis Technologies (ACLS), an equipment supplier to the semiconductor industry, observed an 8.2% decline.
Growth Stocks
- KT Corporation (KT): This telecommunications and platform services company has a Zacks Rank #1, with a PEG ratio of 0.73 compared with 1.04 for the industry. The company possesses a Growth Score of B.
- CarGurus (CARG): This online automotive marketplace has a Zacks Rank #1, with a PEG ratio of 1.05 compared with 1.08 for the industry. The company possesses a Growth Score of A.
- Pilgrim’s Pride Corporation (PPC): This producer of fresh and frozen meat products has a Zacks Rank #1, with a PEG ratio of 0.21 compared with 0.47 for the industry. The company possesses a Growth Score of A.
Momentum Stocks
- Orange County Bancorp (OBT): This commercial and consumer banking company has a Zacks Rank #1, with shares gaining 21.6% over the last three months compared with the S&P 500’s advance of 5%. The company possesses a Momentum Score of A.
- Affirm Holdings (AFRM): This payment network company has a Zacks Rank #1, with shares gaining 43.1% over the last three months compared with the S&P 500’s advance of 5%. The company possesses a Momentum Score of B.
- FinWise Bancorp (FINW): This bank holding company for FinWise Bank has a Zacks Rank #1, with shares gaining 44.8% over the last three months compared with the S&P 500’s advance of 5%. The company possesses a Momentum Score of B.
